Week 11 · Monday, Nov 23 · 8:15 pm ET · Northwest Stadium
TBD referee · 8 rest days (CIN) / 11 (WAS)
Model
Projected CIN 24.2 – WAS 25.1
margin +0.9 · total 49.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CIN | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.0 14th | Power rating | 16th +0.4 |
| −0.0 18th | Offense rating | 14th +0.7 |
| +1.1 12th | Defense rating | 17th −0.3 |
| +0.001 18th | Offense EPA/play | 14th +0.059 |
| −0.081 12th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 17th +0.027 |
| 47.6% 10th | Offense success rate | 19th 42.9% |
| 51.8% 28th | Defense success rate allowed | 2nd 34.0% |
| −0.030 21st | Pass EPA/dropback | 14th +0.133 |
| −0.168 8th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 20th +0.136 |
| +0.050 8th | Rush EPA/carry | 12th −0.047 |
| +0.118 29th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 10th −0.167 |
| 11.1% 7th | Explosive play rate | 27th 4.3% |
| 5.4% 7th | Explosive rate allowed | 19th 9.4% |
| 57.1% 5th | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 50.0% 24th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 19th 42.9% |
| 40.0% 24th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 16.2% 21st | Pressure rate allowed | 2nd 5.1% |
| 16.7% 11th | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 10.0% 15th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 40.0% 1st | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 33.0 7th | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 16th 24.0 |
| +5.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.7% |
| 23.1 3rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 10th 28.3 |
| +0.001 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| −0.081 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| +5.6 3rd | Special teams EPA | 21st +0.2 |
CIN offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for CIN against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CINWAS D
WAS offense vs CIN defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for CIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASCIN D