Week 12 · Thursday, Nov 26 · 1:00 pm ET · Ford Field (dome)
TBD referee · 4 rest days (CHI) / 4 (DET)
Model
Projected CHI 28.6 – DET 26.6
margin −2.0 · total 55.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CHI | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| +2.9 8th | Power rating | 18th −0.6 |
| +4.5 2nd | Offense rating | 19th −0.4 |
| −1.6 24th | Defense rating | 16th −0.2 |
| +0.361 2nd | Offense EPA/play | 19th −0.027 |
| +0.130 24th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 16th +0.019 |
| 53.3% 4th | Offense success rate | 13th 45.5% |
| 47.1% 22nd | Defense success rate allowed | 18th 43.8% |
| +0.551 4th | Pass EPA/dropback | 19th +0.012 |
| +0.242 24th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 16th +0.052 |
| +0.143 2nd | Rush EPA/carry | 14th −0.072 |
| −0.106 14th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 18th −0.075 |
| 12.0% 5th | Explosive play rate | 11th 10.4% |
| 11.8% 27th | Explosive rate allowed | 17th 9.0% |
| 71.4% 3rd | 3rd-down conversion | 16th 38.5% |
| 44.4% 21st | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 23rd 47.1% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 10th 80.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 20th 80.0% |
| 7.9% 5th | Pressure rate allowed | 24th 19.5% |
| 11.6% 23rd | Pressure rate | 18th 14.3% |
| 7.1% 10th | Turnover rate | 9th 6.7% |
| 15.4% 13th | Takeaway rate | 4th 21.4% |
| 59.0 1st | Points per game | 8th 31.0 |
| 37.0 29th | Points allowed per game | 22nd 30.0 |
| −1.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −2.4% |
| 28.6 12th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 20th 31.1 |
| +0.361 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.027 |
| +0.130 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.019 |
| +6.4 1st | Special teams EPA | 23rd +0.1 |
CHI offense vs DET defense
Offense percentiles for CHI against the matching defensive percentiles for DET. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CHIDET D
DET offense vs CHI defense
Offense percentiles for DET against the matching defensive percentiles for CHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DETCHI D