Week 12 · Sunday, Nov 29 · 1:00 pm ET · Lucas Oil Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (NYG) / 10 (IND)
Model
Projected NYG 31.0 – IND 25.9
margin −5.1 · total 57.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NYG | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.2 13th | Power rating | 30th −5.5 |
| +4.5 1st | Offense rating | 27th −2.9 |
| −3.3 28th | Defense rating | 27th −2.6 |
| +0.363 1st | Offense EPA/play | 27th −0.225 |
| +0.271 28th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 27th +0.209 |
| 59.1% 2nd | Offense success rate | 20th 42.6% |
| 48.3% 25th | Defense success rate allowed | 21st 46.9% |
| +0.667 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback | 30th −0.410 |
| +0.425 28th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 26th +0.316 |
| +0.059 7th | Rush EPA/carry | 5th +0.116 |
| −0.100 15th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 27th +0.102 |
| 6.1% 23rd | Explosive play rate | 4th 13.0% |
| 0.0% 1st | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 90.0% 1st | 3rd-down conversion | 22nd 30.0% |
| 72.7% 31st | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 16th 37.5% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 18th 75.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 29th 26.5% |
| 8.3% 27th | Pressure rate | 25th 10.3% |
| 14.3% 17th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 14.3% 15th | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 28.0 12th | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 20.0 10th | Points allowed per game | 31st 41.0 |
| −4.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.1% |
| 28.5 11th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 30th 35.7 |
| +0.363 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.225 |
| +0.271 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.209 |
| +0.6 20th | Special teams EPA | 8th +4.4 |
NYG offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGIND D
IND offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDNYG D