Week 14 · Sunday, Dec 13 · 4:25 pm ET · Paycor Stadium
TBD referee · 10 rest days (KC) / 7 (CIN)
Model
Projected KC 24.3 – CIN 20.6
margin −3.7 · total 44.9
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| KC | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.2 2nd | Power rating | 14th +1.0 |
| +1.4 11th | Offense rating | 18th −0.0 |
| +4.8 1st | Defense rating | 12th +1.1 |
| +0.118 11th | Offense EPA/play | 18th +0.001 |
| −0.378 1st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 12th −0.081 |
| 40.9% 22nd | Offense success rate | 10th 47.6% |
| 36.0% 4th | Defense success rate allowed | 28th 51.8% |
| −0.014 20th | Pass EPA/dropback | 21st −0.030 |
| −0.442 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 8th −0.168 |
| +0.259 1st | Rush EPA/carry | 8th +0.050 |
| −0.228 7th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 29th +0.118 |
| 9.1% 15th | Explosive play rate | 7th 11.1% |
| 2.0% 3rd | Explosive rate allowed | 7th 5.4% |
| 56.3% 7th | 3rd-down conversion | 5th 57.1% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 24th 50.0% |
| 60.0% 19th | Red-zone TD rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 21st 16.2% |
| 21.2% 8th | Pressure rate | 11th 16.7% |
| 8.3% 14th | Turnover rate | 15th 10.0% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 1st 40.0% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 7th 33.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 18th 27.0 |
| +0.4% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.7% |
| 27.6 8th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 3rd 23.1 |
| +0.118 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.001 |
| −0.378 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.081 |
| +3.3 13th | Special teams EPA | 3rd +5.6 |
KC offense vs CIN defense
Offense percentiles for KC against the matching defensive percentiles for CIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
KCCIN D
CIN offense vs KC defense
Offense percentiles for CIN against the matching defensive percentiles for KC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CINKC D