Week 14 · Sunday, Dec 13 · 1:00 pm ET · Ford Field (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (TEN) / 7 (DET)
Model
Projected TEN 22.3 – DET 26.6
margin +4.3 · total 48.9
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| TEN | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| −3.4 27th | Power rating | 18th −0.6 |
| −1.8 23rd | Offense rating | 19th −0.4 |
| −1.5 23rd | Defense rating | 16th −0.2 |
| −0.141 23rd | Offense EPA/play | 19th −0.027 |
| +0.127 23rd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 16th +0.019 |
| 44.0% 14th | Offense success rate | 13th 45.5% |
| 48.4% 26th | Defense success rate allowed | 18th 43.8% |
| −0.152 24th | Pass EPA/dropback | 19th +0.012 |
| +0.338 27th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 16th +0.052 |
| −0.096 17th | Rush EPA/carry | 14th −0.072 |
| −0.038 23rd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 18th −0.075 |
| 4.0% 28th | Explosive play rate | 11th 10.4% |
| 10.9% 24th | Explosive rate allowed | 17th 9.0% |
| 33.3% 18th | 3rd-down conversion | 16th 38.5% |
| 18.2% 4th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 23rd 47.1% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 10th 80.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 20th 80.0% |
| 15.4% 19th | Pressure rate allowed | 24th 19.5% |
| 3.9% 32nd | Pressure rate | 18th 14.3% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 9th 6.7% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 4th 21.4% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 8th 31.0 |
| 23.0 14th | Points allowed per game | 22nd 30.0 |
| +5.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −2.4% |
| 27.3 7th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 20th 31.1 |
| −0.141 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.027 |
| +0.127 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.019 |
| −5.1 32nd | Special teams EPA | 23rd +0.1 |
TEN offense vs DET defense
Offense percentiles for TEN against the matching defensive percentiles for DET. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
TENDET D
DET offense vs TEN defense
Offense percentiles for DET against the matching defensive percentiles for TEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DETTEN D