Week 15 · Sunday, Dec 20 · 4:25 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 13 rest days (DAL) / 7 (LA)
Model
Projected DAL 29.6 – LA 27.1
margin −2.6 · total 56.7
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DAL | LA | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.2 20th | Power rating | 29th −5.2 |
| +3.3 5th | Offense rating | 28th −2.9 |
| −4.5 32nd | Defense rating | 26th −2.3 |
| +0.271 5th | Offense EPA/play | 28th −0.226 |
| +0.363 32nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 26th +0.190 |
| 48.3% 8th | Offense success rate | 16th 43.3% |
| 59.1% 31st | Defense success rate allowed | 30th 56.9% |
| +0.425 5th | Pass EPA/dropback | 29th −0.270 |
| +0.667 31st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 22nd +0.227 |
| −0.100 18th | Rush EPA/carry | 24th −0.171 |
| +0.059 26th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 30th +0.142 |
| 0.0% 32nd | Explosive play rate | 21st 6.7% |
| 6.1% 10th | Explosive rate allowed | 13th 7.7% |
| 72.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion | 26th 22.2% |
| 90.0% 32nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 29th 58.3% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 26th 33.3% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 8.3% 6th | Pressure rate allowed | 30th 27.6% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 30th 5.6% |
| 14.3% 17th | Turnover rate | 27th 20.0% |
| 14.3% 15th | Takeaway rate | 17th 11.1% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 32nd 7.0 |
| 28.0 21st | Points allowed per game | 18th 27.0 |
| +2.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −14.8% |
| 25.6 5th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 23rd 31.8 |
| +0.271 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.226 |
| +0.363 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.190 |
| −1.1 26th | Special teams EPA | 22nd +0.1 |
DAL offense vs LA defense
Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DALLA D
LA offense vs DAL defense
Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LADAL D