Week 17 · Monday, Jan 4 · 8:15 pm ET · Lambeau Field
TBD referee · 11 rest days (HOU) / 10 (GB)
Model
Projected HOU 25.6 – GB 26.6
margin +0.9 · total 52.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| HOU | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| −2.6 23rd | Power rating | 26th −3.2 |
| +0.8 13th | Offense rating | 25th −2.4 |
| −3.4 29th | Defense rating | 21st −0.8 |
| +0.071 13th | Offense EPA/play | 25th −0.181 |
| +0.278 29th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 21st +0.071 |
| 48.1% 9th | Offense success rate | 27th 38.2% |
| 41.1% 12th | Defense success rate allowed | 7th 38.7% |
| +0.098 16th | Pass EPA/dropback | 22nd −0.059 |
| +0.556 30th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 23rd +0.233 |
| +0.030 9th | Rush EPA/carry | 31st −0.438 |
| −0.263 5th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 11th −0.125 |
| 8.9% 17th | Explosive play rate | 3rd 13.2% |
| 14.3% 31st | Explosive rate allowed | 4th 3.2% |
| 43.8% 13th | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 27th 57.1% |
| 80.0% 10th | Red-zone TD rate | 29th 25.0% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 21.4% 26th | Pressure rate allowed | 32nd 32.6% |
| 9.1% 26th | Pressure rate | 13th 16.1% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 36.0 28th | Points allowed per game | 30th 39.0 |
| −4.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −3.0% |
| 31.1 21st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 1st 19.3 |
| +0.071 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.181 |
| +0.278 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.071 |
| +4.3 9th | Special teams EPA | 12th +3.5 |
HOU offense vs GB defense
Offense percentiles for HOU against the matching defensive percentiles for GB. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
HOUGB D
GB offense vs HOU defense
Offense percentiles for GB against the matching defensive percentiles for HOU. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
GBHOU D