Week 17 · Sunday, Jan 3 · 8:20 pm ET · Levi's Stadium
TBD referee · 10 rest days (PHI) / 7 (SF)
Model
Projected PHI 21.3 – SF 28.5
margin +7.1 · total 49.8
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PHI | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.4 17th | Power rating | 4th +5.2 |
| +0.3 16th | Offense rating | 7th +2.3 |
| −0.7 19th | Defense rating | 5th +2.9 |
| +0.027 16th | Offense EPA/play | 7th +0.190 |
| +0.059 19th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 5th −0.226 |
| 34.0% 31st | Offense success rate | 3rd 56.9% |
| 42.9% 14th | Defense success rate allowed | 17th 43.3% |
| +0.136 13th | Pass EPA/dropback | 11th +0.227 |
| +0.133 19th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 4th −0.270 |
| −0.167 23rd | Rush EPA/carry | 3rd +0.142 |
| −0.047 21st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 9th −0.171 |
| 9.4% 14th | Explosive play rate | 19th 7.7% |
| 4.3% 6th | Explosive rate allowed | 12th 6.7% |
| 42.9% 14th | 3rd-down conversion | 4th 58.3% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 7th 22.2% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 4th 33.3% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 3rd 5.6% |
| 5.1% 31st | Pressure rate | 3rd 27.6% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 16th 11.1% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 24.0 17th | Points per game | 13th 27.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 1st 7.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.1% |
| 31.1 22nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 25th 32.7 |
| +0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.190 |
| +0.059 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.226 |
| +1.1 17th | Special teams EPA | 25th −0.7 |
PHI offense vs SF defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for SF. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHISF D
SF offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for SF against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SFPHI D