Week 18 · Sunday, Jan 10 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (PHI) / 7 (NYG)
Model
Projected PHI 27.6 – NYG 30.6
margin +3.1 · total 58.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PHI | NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.4 17th | Power rating | 13th +1.2 |
| +0.3 16th | Offense rating | 1st +4.5 |
| −0.7 19th | Defense rating | 28th −3.3 |
| +0.027 16th | Offense EPA/play | 1st +0.363 |
| +0.059 19th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 28th +0.271 |
| 34.0% 31st | Offense success rate | 2nd 59.1% |
| 42.9% 14th | Defense success rate allowed | 25th 48.3% |
| +0.136 13th | Pass EPA/dropback | 2nd +0.667 |
| +0.133 19th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 28th +0.425 |
| −0.167 23rd | Rush EPA/carry | 7th +0.059 |
| −0.047 21st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 15th −0.100 |
| 9.4% 14th | Explosive play rate | 23rd 6.1% |
| 4.3% 6th | Explosive rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 42.9% 14th | 3rd-down conversion | 1st 90.0% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 31st 72.7% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 5.1% 31st | Pressure rate | 27th 8.3% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 24.0 17th | Points per game | 12th 28.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 31.1 22nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 11th 28.5 |
| +0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| +0.059 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| +1.1 17th | Special teams EPA | 20th +0.6 |
PHI offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHINYG D
NYG offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGPHI D